The President’s remarks on social media have repeatedly triggered violent tremors across global markets. In the early hours of last Tuesday, his tweet “considering a total naval blockade of Tehran” caused WTI futures prices to surge 7% within six minutes; yet, an update 12 hours later stating that “negotiations are going well” saw those gains almost entirely erased. This pattern—dubbed a “diplomatic roller coaster”—has put regulators in Washington and analysts on Wall Street on high alert, prompting questions as to whether this constitutes a strategy of “maximum pressure” or a calculated scheme to manipulate the market.

Media data indicates that prior to the President tweeting about major policy shifts, markets frequently exhibit unusual capital movements; some officials have remarked that such activity would be nearly impossible without insider information. While there is currently no evidence suggesting the White House was directly involved in trading, the lack of transparency surrounding policy has nonetheless allowed “insiders” to reap profits. As skeptical voices rise in Congress, the White House has dismissed these concerns as “conspiracy theories,” asserting that market volatility is merely a natural consequence of geopolitical tensions.

As critical negotiations draw near, market nerves remain frayed, and the President’s style of “governing via late-night tweets” persists. As long as this pattern remains unchanged, questions regarding “insider diplomacy” will not subside—and investigations by the SEC and CFTC are already underway.